Iran's protests have been largely unsuccessful in toppling the government, according to Arang Keshavarzian, a professor of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies at New York University. While many experts had predicted that widespread unrest could lead to regime change, Keshavarzian claims that "there's so little good evidence of mass organisation by protesters" to make such a scenario likely.
Keshavarzian attributes the lack of success among protests to a combination of factors, including the limited organisational capacity of Iran's opposition groups. He notes that even prominent democratic figures in Iran are unable to coordinate and mobilise large-scale support for their causes.
In contrast, former Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has gained significant attention as a potential alternative candidate who could take on the leadership of Iran. However, Keshavarzian remains sceptical about his prospects, suggesting that even he is unlikely to succeed in toppling the current government without broad-based support from ordinary Iranians.
The failure of recent protests to achieve their objectives highlights the significant challenges facing Iran's opposition movement. The opposition will need to re-evaluate its strategies and build stronger links with the broader population if it hopes to challenge the current government effectively.
Keshavarzian attributes the lack of success among protests to a combination of factors, including the limited organisational capacity of Iran's opposition groups. He notes that even prominent democratic figures in Iran are unable to coordinate and mobilise large-scale support for their causes.
In contrast, former Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has gained significant attention as a potential alternative candidate who could take on the leadership of Iran. However, Keshavarzian remains sceptical about his prospects, suggesting that even he is unlikely to succeed in toppling the current government without broad-based support from ordinary Iranians.
The failure of recent protests to achieve their objectives highlights the significant challenges facing Iran's opposition movement. The opposition will need to re-evaluate its strategies and build stronger links with the broader population if it hopes to challenge the current government effectively.
I'm a bit surprised that despite all the hype, the protesters haven't been able to make a real dent in the government... 
. Like, even big-name figures can't seem to get the crowd on their side... that's gotta be a major issue.
. I mean, he was part of the royal family, so what makes him different from the establishment? He needs to build some serious credibility with the general public if he wants to take on the current government. Otherwise, it's just more of the same old thing 
.
. Maybe they need to focus on building those links I mentioned before? Or even getting involved in local politics 
. Whatever it is, they need to step up their game if they want to take on the government effectively 
. They're just not getting the traction they need, you know? Like, 42% of Iranians support the protests, but only 22% think things will get better in the next year 
. The opposition groups are like, totally disorganised, if you ask me 
. And even some of the big-name democrats can't get people to show up 
.
. That's like, super low. I don't think even the opposition groups are on board with him yet 
.
The opposition needs to get real, not just be like, "Hey, let's make some noise!" 
. They need to figure out how to actually engage the population and make them feel like their voices are being heard 
.
. That's not exactly the kind of momentum you need to take down a government 
.
. I mean, even with all the hype and predictions about widespread unrest, it seems like the opposition groups just can't get their act together 
.
. I've been following this stuff for a while now, and it's clear that they're struggling to coordinate efforts and mobilise support on a large scale 
. And let's be real, even some of the prominent democratic figures in Iran are having trouble getting their message out there 
.
. I mean, Reza Pahlavi might have some charisma going for him, but unless he can build a broad-based movement that includes ordinary Iranians, he's not gonna make it in my book 
It seems like no matter how hard people try to bring about change in Iran, they just can't seem to get it together. The opposition is so fragmented and disorganised, it's like they're making it easy for the government to stay in power. And don't even get me started on Reza Pahlavi... he's just a privileged dude who thinks he can waltz into power because of his royal connections. Like, good luck with that, right? 
The people of Iran deserve so much better than another bunch of rich and powerful elites playing politics as usual.
. But nope, just more silence and repression. It's like the protesters are trying to bring down this massive system without even having a clear plan in place 
. And let's be real, Reza Pahlavi thinks he's got what it takes to lead? I'm no expert, but I think it's safe to say that the royal family isn't exactly known for its track record when it comes to democracy 
i'm all for change, but it's gotta be real this time around
. Just saying 
. I think Keshavarzian's scepticism is justified, but also maybe a bit premature?