Michigan's cannabis market is facing a bleak future as a new tax threatens to shut down even more dispensaries and lay off thousands of employees. Since recreational sales began in December 2019, the industry has been plagued by declining prices, with over 550 businesses closing and thousands losing their jobs.
The latest blow came in December 2025, when adult-use cannabis sales fell by 3.1% to $3.17 billion, marking the first decline in annual sales since recreational sales began. This is a far cry from the growth the industry experienced in previous years, with Michigan becoming one of the top producers in the country.
The main culprit behind the decline is an oversaturated supply of cannabis products. As more businesses enter the market, prices plummet and margins shrink, making it difficult for smaller operators to stay afloat. The new 24% wholesale tax will further exacerbate the problem, forcing many dispensaries and processors to close their doors or significantly reduce operations.
The impact on workers is already being felt, with many employees fearing for their jobs as the industry continues to shrink. Municipal budgets are also at risk, as local governments rely heavily on cannabis excise tax revenue.
Business owners like Tom Farrell, owner of Refinery dispensaries, say they're struggling to adapt to the changing market. "We're losing money every day," he says. "It's slower than it has ever been."
The new 24% wholesale tax was passed by the state legislature despite opposition from many in the industry and consumer advocacy groups. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer signed the bill into law, touting it as a way to raise revenue for the state.
However, critics argue that the tax will only lead to more closures and layoffs, harming small businesses and communities that rely heavily on cannabis sales. "They took advantage of a fledgling industry that isn’t organized," says Stuart Carter, owner of Utopia Gardens dispensary. "Now everyone is scrambling to figure out what to do."
As the market continues to shrink, it remains to be seen whether the state can find ways to mitigate the impact on workers and communities. For now, dispensaries, growers, processors, and other cannabis businesses will have to navigate these uncertain waters.
The situation has brought fears of an illicit market resurgence, as more consumers turn back to black markets that don't face steep tax rates. This could ultimately lead to a loss of revenue for the state in the future.
With sales declining and profits shrinking, Michigan's cannabis industry is facing an uncertain future. Will lawmakers find ways to adapt and ensure the survival of small businesses and employees? Only time will tell.
The latest blow came in December 2025, when adult-use cannabis sales fell by 3.1% to $3.17 billion, marking the first decline in annual sales since recreational sales began. This is a far cry from the growth the industry experienced in previous years, with Michigan becoming one of the top producers in the country.
The main culprit behind the decline is an oversaturated supply of cannabis products. As more businesses enter the market, prices plummet and margins shrink, making it difficult for smaller operators to stay afloat. The new 24% wholesale tax will further exacerbate the problem, forcing many dispensaries and processors to close their doors or significantly reduce operations.
The impact on workers is already being felt, with many employees fearing for their jobs as the industry continues to shrink. Municipal budgets are also at risk, as local governments rely heavily on cannabis excise tax revenue.
Business owners like Tom Farrell, owner of Refinery dispensaries, say they're struggling to adapt to the changing market. "We're losing money every day," he says. "It's slower than it has ever been."
The new 24% wholesale tax was passed by the state legislature despite opposition from many in the industry and consumer advocacy groups. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer signed the bill into law, touting it as a way to raise revenue for the state.
However, critics argue that the tax will only lead to more closures and layoffs, harming small businesses and communities that rely heavily on cannabis sales. "They took advantage of a fledgling industry that isn’t organized," says Stuart Carter, owner of Utopia Gardens dispensary. "Now everyone is scrambling to figure out what to do."
As the market continues to shrink, it remains to be seen whether the state can find ways to mitigate the impact on workers and communities. For now, dispensaries, growers, processors, and other cannabis businesses will have to navigate these uncertain waters.
The situation has brought fears of an illicit market resurgence, as more consumers turn back to black markets that don't face steep tax rates. This could ultimately lead to a loss of revenue for the state in the future.
With sales declining and profits shrinking, Michigan's cannabis industry is facing an uncertain future. Will lawmakers find ways to adapt and ensure the survival of small businesses and employees? Only time will tell.