Iran's latest wave of protests - sparked by a call from exiled son of the Shah Reza Pahlavi, and fueled by widespread economic discontent - poses an increasingly complex challenge to the Islamic Republic. Since late December, Iranians have taken to the streets in cities and rural areas across the country, leading to over 40 deaths and thousands of detentions.
The current protests differ from previous rounds of unrest, which were largely sparked by issues such as human rights abuses or government repression, with more widespread economic grievances driving this particular movement. As Iran grapples with an increasingly dire economic situation, fueled in part by US sanctions imposed after 2018, and exacerbated by a devastating war with Israel last June, the government is now facing pressure from multiple fronts.
Vali Nasr, professor of Middle Eastern Studies at Johns Hopkins University, believes that the protests are being driven by growing disillusionment among the Iranian population, who have come to see the Islamic Republic as out of touch with their economic and social needs. This movement is gaining momentum as more and more people, including those who were previously skeptical or apathetic about the regime's legitimacy, become increasingly frustrated.
The role of Reza Pahlavi in this process cannot be overstated. As a symbol of resistance against the current regime, his call for protests has resonated with many young Iranians, particularly those from middle-class backgrounds who have been affected by economic hardship and corruption. Despite being largely exiled, Pahlavi's message has tapped into a deep-seated desire for change among many Iranians.
For Nasr, it is no longer clear whether Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei will be able to maintain his grip on power. As the 86-year-old leader faces increasing pressure from within and without, he will likely remain in office until a successor is found, but ultimately, the fate of the regime hangs in the balance.
As long as tensions between Iran and the US - with Washington's latest threat to intervene if protesters are harmed appearing increasingly credible - the situation on the ground remains volatile. The stakes have never been higher for the Islamic Republic, which now faces a seemingly impossible task in navigating multiple crises simultaneously.
The question of whether this time is different for Iran is an increasingly pressing one. Is the country's long-stalled revolution finally gaining momentum? Or will another faction emerge to lead the nation into its next chapter? One thing is clear: the world is watching, and the future of the Islamic Republic hangs precariously in the balance.
The current protests differ from previous rounds of unrest, which were largely sparked by issues such as human rights abuses or government repression, with more widespread economic grievances driving this particular movement. As Iran grapples with an increasingly dire economic situation, fueled in part by US sanctions imposed after 2018, and exacerbated by a devastating war with Israel last June, the government is now facing pressure from multiple fronts.
Vali Nasr, professor of Middle Eastern Studies at Johns Hopkins University, believes that the protests are being driven by growing disillusionment among the Iranian population, who have come to see the Islamic Republic as out of touch with their economic and social needs. This movement is gaining momentum as more and more people, including those who were previously skeptical or apathetic about the regime's legitimacy, become increasingly frustrated.
The role of Reza Pahlavi in this process cannot be overstated. As a symbol of resistance against the current regime, his call for protests has resonated with many young Iranians, particularly those from middle-class backgrounds who have been affected by economic hardship and corruption. Despite being largely exiled, Pahlavi's message has tapped into a deep-seated desire for change among many Iranians.
For Nasr, it is no longer clear whether Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei will be able to maintain his grip on power. As the 86-year-old leader faces increasing pressure from within and without, he will likely remain in office until a successor is found, but ultimately, the fate of the regime hangs in the balance.
As long as tensions between Iran and the US - with Washington's latest threat to intervene if protesters are harmed appearing increasingly credible - the situation on the ground remains volatile. The stakes have never been higher for the Islamic Republic, which now faces a seemingly impossible task in navigating multiple crises simultaneously.
The question of whether this time is different for Iran is an increasingly pressing one. Is the country's long-stalled revolution finally gaining momentum? Or will another faction emerge to lead the nation into its next chapter? One thing is clear: the world is watching, and the future of the Islamic Republic hangs precariously in the balance.