Britain's greatest threat may not be from Russia, as its politicians and security officials claim, but rather from the US under President Donald Trump. For decades, the British state has been adept at warning the public about potential threats from abroad, often using Russia as a convenient scapegoat. However, with the Trump administration's increasingly erratic and hostile behavior towards liberal Europe, including Britain, this simplistic narrative feels outdated.
The UK's military and intelligence officials are now convinced that an undeclared war is underway, but they have yet to acknowledge the true nature of this threat. The US has been a reliable ally for over 80 years, but Trump's presidency has marked a significant shift in their relationship. The US government's stance on issues such as free speech, tariffs, and climate change has created fundamental disputes with Britain.
The UK's dependence on US intelligence and military cooperation is also exposed. From the GCHQ surveillance centre to nuclear-armed submarines at Faslane in Scotland, many of these secret alliances are no longer tenable in a world where the US is increasingly hostile towards liberal Europe.
This shift has been starkly illustrated by the recent crisis over Greenland, which highlighted the Trump administration's deep-seated antipathy towards European countries. The US has consistently undermined international law and institutions, such as the UN, and its stance on issues like trade and security has created uncertainty for Britain and other Western nations.
The British state seems reluctant to accept that this relationship is fundamentally changing. Keir Starmer's government published a strategic defence review last June, which largely ignored Trump's anti-European foreign policy and instead reaffirmed the importance of the special relationship with the US. This suggests that there are still deep-seated impulses at work, including a reluctance to break with the status quo.
However, this approach is becoming increasingly difficult to sustain in a world where the US has become a more hostile and unpredictable partner. The emergence of nationalist politicians like JD Vance, who advocate for a more dominant US role in Western affairs, suggests that this shift may be irreversible.
The British state must now confront the reality that its relationship with the US is fundamentally changing. This requires new thinking and a recognition that the special relationship is no longer tenable. The UK's national security strategy should prioritize building relationships with other European countries and exploring alternative alliances to mitigate the impact of Trump's hostility.
The UK's military and intelligence officials are now convinced that an undeclared war is underway, but they have yet to acknowledge the true nature of this threat. The US has been a reliable ally for over 80 years, but Trump's presidency has marked a significant shift in their relationship. The US government's stance on issues such as free speech, tariffs, and climate change has created fundamental disputes with Britain.
The UK's dependence on US intelligence and military cooperation is also exposed. From the GCHQ surveillance centre to nuclear-armed submarines at Faslane in Scotland, many of these secret alliances are no longer tenable in a world where the US is increasingly hostile towards liberal Europe.
This shift has been starkly illustrated by the recent crisis over Greenland, which highlighted the Trump administration's deep-seated antipathy towards European countries. The US has consistently undermined international law and institutions, such as the UN, and its stance on issues like trade and security has created uncertainty for Britain and other Western nations.
The British state seems reluctant to accept that this relationship is fundamentally changing. Keir Starmer's government published a strategic defence review last June, which largely ignored Trump's anti-European foreign policy and instead reaffirmed the importance of the special relationship with the US. This suggests that there are still deep-seated impulses at work, including a reluctance to break with the status quo.
However, this approach is becoming increasingly difficult to sustain in a world where the US has become a more hostile and unpredictable partner. The emergence of nationalist politicians like JD Vance, who advocate for a more dominant US role in Western affairs, suggests that this shift may be irreversible.
The British state must now confront the reality that its relationship with the US is fundamentally changing. This requires new thinking and a recognition that the special relationship is no longer tenable. The UK's national security strategy should prioritize building relationships with other European countries and exploring alternative alliances to mitigate the impact of Trump's hostility.