Iran's protests, sparked by soaring inflation and currency fluctuations, have shown no signs of abating. Thousands took to the streets of Tehran last week, setting fire to vehicles and government buildings. The Iranian regime, under increasing pressure from its own people, has responded with brutal force.
For years, opponents of the regime have predicted its demise, but the current unrest has taken an unexpected turn. What began as a wave of discontent over economic woes has quickly evolved into a broader demand for regime change. In this, the protests are in stark contrast to those that followed the 2009 Green movement, which was brutally suppressed by the authorities.
The regime's response to these new protests is also noteworthy, marked by increasing paranoia and accusations of foreign interference. The supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has singled out "saboteurs" who are allegedly in league with US President Donald Trump, fueling a climate of fear and mistrust.
Yet, despite the regime's best efforts to quash the protests, its response is increasingly underpinned by uncertainty. Its economic room for manoeuvre is limited, and the country is facing growing internal and external threats. The war with Israel in June shattered the illusion that the regime could provide security, even if it failed economically.
The US president's threat to intervene has added fuel to the fire, but its impact may be overstated. Mr Trump's approach risks delegitimising genuine Iranian grievances by portraying protesters as pawns of foreign aggression. Such tactics would suit Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu well, who has long sought to draw the US into a conflict over Iran.
The outcome of these protests remains far from certain. Destabilisation may merely entrench the power of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, while those seeking to intervene risk fuelling further bloodshed and suffering. As the situation continues to unfold, one thing is clear: there can be no easy exit for either side.
For years, opponents of the regime have predicted its demise, but the current unrest has taken an unexpected turn. What began as a wave of discontent over economic woes has quickly evolved into a broader demand for regime change. In this, the protests are in stark contrast to those that followed the 2009 Green movement, which was brutally suppressed by the authorities.
The regime's response to these new protests is also noteworthy, marked by increasing paranoia and accusations of foreign interference. The supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has singled out "saboteurs" who are allegedly in league with US President Donald Trump, fueling a climate of fear and mistrust.
Yet, despite the regime's best efforts to quash the protests, its response is increasingly underpinned by uncertainty. Its economic room for manoeuvre is limited, and the country is facing growing internal and external threats. The war with Israel in June shattered the illusion that the regime could provide security, even if it failed economically.
The US president's threat to intervene has added fuel to the fire, but its impact may be overstated. Mr Trump's approach risks delegitimising genuine Iranian grievances by portraying protesters as pawns of foreign aggression. Such tactics would suit Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu well, who has long sought to draw the US into a conflict over Iran.
The outcome of these protests remains far from certain. Destabilisation may merely entrench the power of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, while those seeking to intervene risk fuelling further bloodshed and suffering. As the situation continues to unfold, one thing is clear: there can be no easy exit for either side.