The Trump administration's plans to steal the 2026 midterms are likely to fail, despite the president's efforts to undermine the integrity of American elections.
In a move that has been described as a "nightmare scenario," Trump has said he regrets not ordering the military to seize voting machines in 2020, a plan that was met with swift judicial rebukes and widespread criticism from election officials and lawmakers. The proposal, which would have given the president unprecedented authority over election administration, is unlikely to succeed due to institutional resistance and the constitutional limitations on presidential power.
The latest development in this saga came when the FBI seized 2020 election records — ballots, voter rolls, and scanner images — from a government facility in Fulton County, Georgia. The raid, which was conducted with the approval of a magistrate judge, has raised concerns about the administration's intentions and its use of federal law enforcement to advance its claims of electoral impropriety.
However, despite these efforts, experts believe that Trump's attempts at election interference will fail due to institutional resistance and the lack of evidence to support his claims. "There is a very high risk that the administration will use every tool at its disposal to get voting machines or ballots in the course of an upcoming election," said Wendy Weiser, vice president of democracy at the Brennan Center for Justice. "But I don’t think there is a high risk that they will succeed."
Furthermore, even if Trump were able to seize voting machines or interfere with vote counting, it's unlikely that his efforts would be successful in flipping the outcome of elections. As Justin Levitt, a former DOJ official and professor at Loyola Law School, noted, "Trump wants to project ICE as an all-powerful force everywhere. And they are, as Minneapolis is proving emphatically, not. There simply aren't enough ICE personnel to blanket a modestly large city."
In the end, while Trump's plans to steal the 2026 midterms may seem alarming, they are unlikely to succeed due to institutional resistance and the constitutional limitations on presidential power. As Weiser said, "There is clearly an effort afoot to interfere in our elections and that is something that people should be alarmed about. But this can be thwarted. And it must be."
In a move that has been described as a "nightmare scenario," Trump has said he regrets not ordering the military to seize voting machines in 2020, a plan that was met with swift judicial rebukes and widespread criticism from election officials and lawmakers. The proposal, which would have given the president unprecedented authority over election administration, is unlikely to succeed due to institutional resistance and the constitutional limitations on presidential power.
The latest development in this saga came when the FBI seized 2020 election records — ballots, voter rolls, and scanner images — from a government facility in Fulton County, Georgia. The raid, which was conducted with the approval of a magistrate judge, has raised concerns about the administration's intentions and its use of federal law enforcement to advance its claims of electoral impropriety.
However, despite these efforts, experts believe that Trump's attempts at election interference will fail due to institutional resistance and the lack of evidence to support his claims. "There is a very high risk that the administration will use every tool at its disposal to get voting machines or ballots in the course of an upcoming election," said Wendy Weiser, vice president of democracy at the Brennan Center for Justice. "But I don’t think there is a high risk that they will succeed."
Furthermore, even if Trump were able to seize voting machines or interfere with vote counting, it's unlikely that his efforts would be successful in flipping the outcome of elections. As Justin Levitt, a former DOJ official and professor at Loyola Law School, noted, "Trump wants to project ICE as an all-powerful force everywhere. And they are, as Minneapolis is proving emphatically, not. There simply aren't enough ICE personnel to blanket a modestly large city."
In the end, while Trump's plans to steal the 2026 midterms may seem alarming, they are unlikely to succeed due to institutional resistance and the constitutional limitations on presidential power. As Weiser said, "There is clearly an effort afoot to interfere in our elections and that is something that people should be alarmed about. But this can be thwarted. And it must be."